FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona won after full-time.
1 - 0
FT
Rayo Vallecano
Postmatch editorial
FC Barcelona made the numbers look right
The final score was FC Barcelona 1-0 Rayo Vallecano. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Ronald Araujo put the first mark on the match 24', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: FC Barcelona led Total shots 15-8. FC Barcelona also shaded Possession 61%-39%.
Before kickoff, our model made FC Barcelona the likeliest result at 71.5%, while the median bookmaker line priced FC Barcelona at 82.3% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (50.5%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
FC Barcelona
71.5%
Market result
FC Barcelona
82.3%
BTTS
No
50.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Total shots
FC BarcelonaFC Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano
15
8
Possession
FC BarcelonaFC Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano
61%
39%
Corners
Rayo VallecanoFC Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano
6
9
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.