FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona won after full-time.
3 - 0
FT
Levante
Postmatch editorial
FC Barcelona made the numbers look right
The final score was FC Barcelona 3-0 Levante. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Fermín López scored 81' for FC Barcelona.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: FC Barcelona led Shots on target 9-2. FC Barcelona also shaded Total shots 22-5.
Before kickoff, our model made FC Barcelona the likeliest result at 81.1%, while the median bookmaker line priced FC Barcelona at 90.1% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (57.2%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
FC Barcelona
81.1%
Market result
FC Barcelona
90.1%
BTTS
No
57.2%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
FC BarcelonaFC Barcelona
Levante
9
2
Total shots
FC BarcelonaFC Barcelona
Levante
22
5
Possession
FC BarcelonaFC Barcelona
Levante
73%
27%
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.