FC Barcelona
FC Barcelona won after full-time.
1 - 0
FT
Celta de Vigo
Postmatch editorial
FC Barcelona made the numbers look right
The final score was FC Barcelona 1-0 Celta de Vigo. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Lamine Yamal put the first mark on the match 40', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: FC Barcelona led Total shots 10-6. FC Barcelona also shaded Possession 61%-39%.
Before kickoff, our model made FC Barcelona the likeliest result at 73.4%, while the median bookmaker line priced FC Barcelona at 80.3% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (50.3%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
FC Barcelona
73.4%
Market result
FC Barcelona
80.3%
BTTS
Yes
50.3%
Key stats
Match numbers
Total shots
FC BarcelonaFC Barcelona
Celta de Vigo
10
6
Possession
FC BarcelonaFC Barcelona
Celta de Vigo
61%
39%
Corners
FC BarcelonaFC Barcelona
Celta de Vigo
5
3
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.