FC Augsburg
VfB Stuttgart won after full-time.
2 - 5
FT
VfB Stuttgart
Postmatch editorial
The script held and VfB Stuttgart delivered it
The final score was FC Augsburg 2-5 VfB Stuttgart. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Ermedin Demirovic scored 83' for VfB Stuttgart.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: VfB Stuttgart led Corners 2-5. VfB Stuttgart also shaded Possession 40%-60%.
Before kickoff, our model made VfB Stuttgart the likeliest result at 47.0%, while the median bookmaker line priced VfB Stuttgart at 49.6% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (57.2%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
VfB Stuttgart
47.0%
Market result
VfB Stuttgart
49.6%
BTTS
Yes
57.2%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
VfB StuttgartFC Augsburg
VfB Stuttgart
2
5
Possession
VfB StuttgartFC Augsburg
VfB Stuttgart
40%
60%
Shots on target
VfB StuttgartFC Augsburg
VfB Stuttgart
7
8
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.