FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg won after full-time.
2 - 0
FT
FC Köln
Postmatch editorial
The script held and FC Augsburg delivered it
The final score was FC Augsburg 2-0 FC Köln. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Alexis Claude-Maurice scored 90+5' for FC Augsburg.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: FC Augsburg led Shots on target 4-3. FC Augsburg also shaded Total shots 14-10.
Before kickoff, our model made FC Augsburg the likeliest result at 42.6%, while the median bookmaker line priced FC Augsburg at 45.5% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (55.0%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
FC Augsburg
42.6%
Market result
FC Augsburg
45.5%
BTTS
Yes
55.0%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
FC Köln
4
3
Total shots
FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
FC Köln
14
10
Corners
FC KölnFC Augsburg
FC Köln
6
9
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.