FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg won after full-time.
3 - 1
FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Postmatch editorial
The script held and FC Augsburg delivered it
The final score was FC Augsburg 3-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Michael Gregoritsch put the first mark on the match 24', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: FC Augsburg led Shots on target 10-4. Borussia Mönchengladbach also shaded Possession 37%-63%.
Before kickoff, our model made FC Augsburg the likeliest result at 44.6%, while the median bookmaker line priced FC Augsburg at 51.5% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (52.6%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
FC Augsburg
44.6%
Market result
FC Augsburg
51.5%
BTTS
Yes
52.6%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
10
4
Possession
Borussia MönchengladbachFC Augsburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
37%
63%
Corners
FC AugsburgFC Augsburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3
2
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.