Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Famalicão 1-2 Marítimo. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Famalicão struck first through Finn van Breemen 8', but Marítimo recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Famalicão led Corners 5-1, even though the scoreboard went another way. Famalicão also shaded Possession 67%-33%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Famalicão the favourite at 57.1% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Famalicão

57.1%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Famalicão

Famalicão

Marítimo

5

1

Possession

Famalicão

Famalicão

Marítimo

67%

33%

Total shots

Famalicão

Famalicão

Marítimo

14

9