Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Fakenham Town 2-0 St Ives Town. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Fakenham Town scored 77' for Fakenham Town.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: St Ives Town led Corners 4-6, even though the scoreboard went another way. St Ives Town also shaded Possession 48%-52%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made St Ives Town the favourite at 43.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

St Ives Town

43.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

St Ives Town

Fakenham Town

St Ives Town

4

6

Possession

St Ives Town

Fakenham Town

St Ives Town

48%

52%