Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was F91 Dudelange 2-3 Atlètic Club d'Escaldes. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when David Valero scored 89' for Atlètic Club d'Escaldes.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: F91 Dudelange led Corners 9-1, even though the scoreboard went another way. F91 Dudelange also shaded Total shots 14-7.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made F91 Dudelange the favourite at 55.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

F91 Dudelange

55.6%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

F91 Dudelange

F91 Dudelange

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes

9

1

Total shots

F91 Dudelange

F91 Dudelange

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes

14

7

Possession

F91 Dudelange

F91 Dudelange

Atlètic Club d'Escaldes

63%

37%