Postmatch editorial

Socuéllamos flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Extremadura UD 1-2 Socuéllamos. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Kike Domínguez put the first mark on the match 32', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Extremadura UD led Shots on target 9-4, even though the scoreboard went another way. Extremadura UD also shaded Possession 71%-29%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Extremadura UD the favourite at 52.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Extremadura UD

52.4%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Extremadura UD

Extremadura UD

Socuéllamos

9

4

Possession

Extremadura UD

Extremadura UD

Socuéllamos

71%

29%

Corners

Extremadura UD

Extremadura UD

Socuéllamos

4

2