Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Exmouth 0-2 Shaftesbury Town. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when Harry Baker scored 90+4' for Shaftesbury Town.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Exmouth led Total shots 14-6, even though the scoreboard went another way. Exmouth also shaded Corners 11-4.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Exmouth the favourite at 42.2% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Exmouth
42.2%
Key stats
Match numbers
Total shots
ExmouthExmouth
Shaftesbury Town
14
6
Corners
ExmouthExmouth
Shaftesbury Town
11
4
Shots on target
ExmouthExmouth
Shaftesbury Town
6
4