Postmatch editorial

Exmouth flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Exmouth 2-1 Banbury United. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Banbury United struck first through Josh Cavallo 20', but Exmouth recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Banbury United led Corners 4-6, even though the scoreboard went another way. Banbury United also shaded Possession 48%-52%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Banbury United the favourite at 51.3% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Banbury United

51.3%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Banbury United

Exmouth

Banbury United

4

6

Possession

Banbury United

Exmouth

Banbury United

48%

52%