Postmatch editorial

Exeter City flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Exeter City 3-0 Doncaster Rovers. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Jayden Wareham scored 84' for Exeter City.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Doncaster Rovers led Shots on target 6-10, even though the scoreboard went another way. Doncaster Rovers also shaded Possession 39%-61%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Doncaster Rovers the favourite at 45.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Doncaster Rovers

45.0%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Doncaster Rovers

Exeter City

Doncaster Rovers

6

10

Possession

Doncaster Rovers

Exeter City

Doncaster Rovers

39%

61%

Corners

Exeter City

Exeter City

Doncaster Rovers

7

4