Postmatch editorial
Excelsior made the pre-match prices look right
The final score was Excelsior 2-1 Sparta Rotterdam. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Nesto Groen scored 90+2' for Excelsior.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Excelsior led Shots on target 5-2. Excelsior also shaded Total shots 15-10.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Excelsior the favourite at 45.5% implied probability. That market lean landed.
Market check
Market result
Excelsior
45.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
ExcelsiorExcelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
5
2
Total shots
ExcelsiorExcelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
15
10
Corners
ExcelsiorExcelsior
Sparta Rotterdam
6
4