Postmatch editorial

Independiente upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Estudiantes 0-2 Independiente. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Santiago Montiel scored 82' for Independiente.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Independiente led Shots on target 3-4. Estudiantes also shaded Possession 59%-41%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Estudiantes the favourite at 46.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Estudiantes

46.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Independiente

Estudiantes

Independiente

3

4

Possession

Estudiantes

Estudiantes

Independiente

59%

41%

Total shots

Estudiantes

Estudiantes

Independiente

16

14