Postmatch editorial

Farense flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Estrela Amadora 0-1 Farense. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Estrela Amadora struck first through Rodrigo Pinho 40', but Farense recovered and flipped the match.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Farense led Shots on target 3-5. Estrela Amadora also shaded Corners 7-3.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Estrela Amadora the favourite at 38.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Estrela Amadora

38.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Farense

Estrela Amadora

Farense

3

5

Corners

Estrela Amadora

Estrela Amadora

Farense

7

3

Possession

Estrela Amadora

Estrela Amadora

Farense

59%

41%