Postmatch editorial

Rio Ave flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Estoril 0-2 Rio Ave. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Jalen Blesa put the first mark on the match 15', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Estoril led Total shots 18-3, even though the scoreboard went another way. Estoril also shaded Shots on target 6-3.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Estoril the favourite at 50.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Estoril

50.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Estoril

Estoril

Rio Ave

18

3

Shots on target

Estoril

Estoril

Rio Ave

6

3

Corners

Estoril

Estoril

Rio Ave

6

3