England
England won after full-time.
2 - 0
FT
Andorra
Postmatch editorial
The script held and England delivered it
The final score was England 2-0 Andorra. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Christian Garcia put the first mark on the match 25', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: England led Shots on target 7-0. England also shaded Total shots 11-2.
Before kickoff, our model made England the likeliest result at 86.3%, while the median bookmaker line priced England at 99.0% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (78.1%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
England
86.3%
Market result
England
99.0%
BTTS
No
78.1%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
EnglandEngland
Andorra
7
0
Total shots
EnglandEngland
Andorra
11
2
Possession
EnglandEngland
Andorra
83%
17%
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.