Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Energie Cottbus 3-4 SpVgg Greuther Fürth. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Energie Cottbus struck first through Lucas Copado 6', but SpVgg Greuther Fürth recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Energie Cottbus led Total shots 22-15, even though the scoreboard went another way. Energie Cottbus also shaded Corners 10-6.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Energie Cottbus the favourite at 40.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Energie Cottbus

40.6%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Energie Cottbus

Energie Cottbus

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

22

15

Corners

Energie Cottbus

Energie Cottbus

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

10

6

Shots on target

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Energie Cottbus

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

6

7