Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Energie Cottbus 3-1 Hannover 96. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Justin Butler scored 76' for Energie Cottbus.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Hannover 96 led Shots on target 4-10, even though the scoreboard went another way. Hannover 96 also shaded Total shots 12-27.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Hannover 96 the favourite at 45.9% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Hannover 96

45.9%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Hannover 96

Energie Cottbus

Hannover 96

4

10

Total shots

Hannover 96

Energie Cottbus

Hannover 96

12

27

Corners

Hannover 96

Energie Cottbus

Hannover 96

2

6