Postmatch editorial

Schalke 04 flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Elversberg 1-2 Schalke 04. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Elversberg struck first through Luca Schnellbacher 4', but Schalke 04 recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Elversberg led Corners 8-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Elversberg also shaded Shots on target 4-3.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Elversberg the favourite at 47.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Elversberg

47.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Elversberg

Elversberg

Schalke 04

8

2

Shots on target

Elversberg

Elversberg

Schalke 04

4

3

Possession

Elversberg

Elversberg

Schalke 04

57%

43%