Postmatch editorial
Elversberg made the pre-match prices look right
The final score was Elversberg 5-1 Paderborn. The median bookmaker prices were already leaning toward that outcome.
The decisive turn arrived late when Raif Adam scored 90+3' for Elversberg.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Paderborn led Corners 2-5, even though the scoreboard went another way. Paderborn also shaded Total shots 8-11.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Elversberg the favourite at 46.5% implied probability. That market lean landed.
Market check
Market result
Elversberg
46.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
PaderbornElversberg
Paderborn
2
5
Total shots
PaderbornElversberg
Paderborn
8
11
Possession
PaderbornElversberg
Paderborn
42%
58%