Postmatch editorial

Eldense upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Eldense 2-1 Almería. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Almería struck first through Patrick Soko 30', but Eldense recovered and flipped the match.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Eldense led Corners 7-1. Eldense also shaded Total shots 7-4.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Almería the favourite at 50.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Almería

50.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Eldense

Eldense

Almería

7

1

Total shots

Eldense

Eldense

Almería

7

4

Possession

Eldense

Eldense

Almería

53%

47%