Postmatch editorial

Elche flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Elche 1-0 Valencia. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Lucas Cepeda put the first mark on the match 73', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Valencia led Shots on target 2-8, even though the scoreboard went another way. Valencia also shaded Total shots 7-22.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Valencia the favourite at 38.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Valencia

38.0%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Valencia

Elche

Valencia

2

8

Total shots

Valencia

Elche

Valencia

7

22

Corners

Valencia

Elche

Valencia

5

9