Eintracht Frankfurt
Hamburger SV won after full-time.
1 - 2
FT
Hamburger SV
Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the pre-match lean
The final score was Eintracht Frankfurt 1-2 Hamburger SV. It landed away from the main pre-match lean and counts as a genuine twist in the numbers.
Eintracht Frankfurt struck first through Can Uzun 48', but Hamburger SV recovered and flipped the match.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Eintracht Frankfurt led Possession 64%-36%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Eintracht Frankfurt also shaded Corners 9-4.
Before kickoff, our model made Eintracht Frankfurt the likeliest result at 46.0%, while the median bookmaker line priced Eintracht Frankfurt at 58.8% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (62.8%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Eintracht Frankfurt
46.0%
Market result
Eintracht Frankfurt
58.8%
BTTS
Yes
62.8%
Key stats
Match numbers
Possession
Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
Hamburger SV
64%
36%
Corners
Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
Hamburger SV
9
4
Shots on target
Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
Hamburger SV
5
4
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.