Postmatch editorial

Guildford City upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Eastbourne Town 2-4 Guildford City. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Eastbourne Town struck first through the opener 2', but Guildford City recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Eastbourne Town led Corners 6-4, even though the scoreboard went another way. Eastbourne Town also shaded Possession 52%-48%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Eastbourne Town the favourite at 57.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Eastbourne Town

57.8%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Eastbourne Town

Eastbourne Town

Guildford City

6

4

Possession

Eastbourne Town

Eastbourne Town

Guildford City

52%

48%

Shots on target

Eastbourne Town

Guildford City

7

7