Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Dynamo Dresden 0-1 Erzgebirge Aue. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Nicolas Kühn put the first mark on the match 53', setting the tone for the rest of the night.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Dynamo Dresden led Possession 59%-41%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Dynamo Dresden also shaded Shots on target 5-4.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 56.8% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Dynamo Dresden
56.8%
Key stats
Match numbers
Possession
Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden
Erzgebirge Aue
59%
41%
Shots on target
Dynamo DresdenDynamo Dresden
Erzgebirge Aue
5
4
Total shots
Erzgebirge AueDynamo Dresden
Erzgebirge Aue
11
14