Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Dulwich Hamlet 0-1 Bedfont Sports. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Bedfont Sports put the first mark on the match 31', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Dulwich Hamlet led Shots on target 10-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Dulwich Hamlet also shaded Possession 69%-31%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Dulwich Hamlet the favourite at 76.9% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Dulwich Hamlet

76.9%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Dulwich Hamlet

Dulwich Hamlet

Bedfont Sports

10

2

Possession

Dulwich Hamlet

Dulwich Hamlet

Bedfont Sports

69%

31%

Corners

Dulwich Hamlet

Dulwich Hamlet

Bedfont Sports

10

3