Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Dorking Wanderers 2-3 Aldershot Town. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Joshua Barrett put the first mark on the match 43', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Dorking Wanderers led Corners 12-2, even though the scoreboard went another way. Dorking Wanderers also shaded Total shots 14-7.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Dorking Wanderers the favourite at 46.9% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Dorking Wanderers

46.9%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Dorking Wanderers

Dorking Wanderers

Aldershot Town

12

2

Total shots

Dorking Wanderers

Dorking Wanderers

Aldershot Town

14

7

Shots on target

Aldershot Town

Dorking Wanderers

Aldershot Town

3

5