Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Domžale 1-4 Balzan. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when Nikola Zerjal scored 90+4' for Balzan.
The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Balzan led Shots on target 2-6. Domžale also shaded Corners 10-4.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Domžale the favourite at 72.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Domžale
72.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
BalzanDomžale
Balzan
2
6
Corners
DomžaleDomžale
Balzan
10
4
Possession
DomžaleDomžale
Balzan
63%
37%