Postmatch editorial

Zeljeznicar flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Dinamo Minsk 1-2 Zeljeznicar. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Sulejman Krpic scored 78' for Zeljeznicar.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Dinamo Minsk led Total shots 13-5, even though the scoreboard went another way. Dinamo Minsk also shaded Shots on target 5-3.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Dinamo Minsk the favourite at 50.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Dinamo Minsk

50.0%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Dinamo Minsk

Dinamo Minsk

Zeljeznicar

13

5

Shots on target

Dinamo Minsk

Dinamo Minsk

Zeljeznicar

5

3

Possession

Dinamo Minsk

Dinamo Minsk

Zeljeznicar

58%

42%