Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Dinamo Brest 6-3 Astana. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
The decisive turn arrived late when Abdoulaye Diallo scored 90' for Dinamo Brest.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Astana led Corners 3-10, even though the scoreboard went another way. Astana also shaded Shots on target 7-10.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Astana the favourite at 44.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Astana
44.4%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
AstanaDinamo Brest
Astana
3
10
Shots on target
AstanaDinamo Brest
Astana
7
10
Possession
AstanaDinamo Brest
Astana
39%
61%