Postmatch editorial

Tirana flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Dinamo Batumi 1-2 Tirana. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Regi Lushkja put the first mark on the match 28', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Dinamo Batumi led Total shots 17-5, even though the scoreboard went another way. Dinamo Batumi also shaded Possession 65%-35%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Dinamo Batumi the favourite at 55.9% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Dinamo Batumi

55.9%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Dinamo Batumi

Dinamo Batumi

Tirana

17

5

Possession

Dinamo Batumi

Dinamo Batumi

Tirana

65%

35%

Shots on target

Dinamo Batumi

Tirana

5

5