Postmatch editorial

Swansea City flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Derby County 0-3 Swansea City. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Ronald scored 90+1' for Swansea City.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Swansea City led Shots on target 0-12. Swansea City also shaded Total shots 8-23.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Derby County the favourite at 41.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Derby County

41.7%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Swansea City

Derby County

Swansea City

0

12

Total shots

Swansea City

Derby County

Swansea City

8

23

Corners

Swansea City

Derby County

Swansea City

5

6