Postmatch editorial

Sheffield United upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Derby County 1-2 Sheffield United. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Derby County struck first through Sammie Szmodics 5', but Sheffield United recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Derby County led Corners 6-3, even though the scoreboard went another way. Sheffield United also shaded Shots on target 6-8.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Derby County the favourite at 52.9% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Derby County

52.9%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Derby County

Derby County

Sheffield United

6

3

Shots on target

Sheffield United

Derby County

Sheffield United

6

8

Total shots

Derby County

Derby County

Sheffield United

17

15