Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Derby County 1-3 Crewe Alexandra. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Derby County struck first through Tom Barkhuizen 3', but Crewe Alexandra recovered and flipped the match.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Derby County led Total shots 16-8, even though the scoreboard went another way. Derby County also shaded Corners 11-4.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Derby County the favourite at 85.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Derby County
85.5%
Key stats
Match numbers
Total shots
Derby CountyDerby County
Crewe Alexandra
16
8
Corners
Derby CountyDerby County
Crewe Alexandra
11
4
Possession
Derby CountyDerby County
Crewe Alexandra
61%
39%