Postmatch editorial

The pre-match tension never quite broke

The final score was Derby County 2-2 Cardiff City. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.

Cian Ashford put the first mark on the match 19', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Cardiff City led Possession 36%-64%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Cardiff City also shaded Total shots 15-16.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Derby County the favourite at 46.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Derby County

46.4%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Possession

Cardiff City

Derby County

Cardiff City

36%

64%

Total shots

Cardiff City

Derby County

Cardiff City

15

16

Shots on target

Derby County

Cardiff City

7

7