Postmatch editorial

Rayo Vallecano upset the pre-match prices

The final score was Deportivo Alavés 1-2 Rayo Vallecano. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Deportivo Alavés struck first through Toni Martínez 13', but Rayo Vallecano recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Deportivo Alavés led Shots on target 11-7, even though the scoreboard went another way. Deportivo Alavés also shaded Corners 10-5.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Deportivo Alavés the favourite at 45.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Deportivo Alavés

45.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Deportivo Alavés

Deportivo Alavés

Rayo Vallecano

11

7

Corners

Deportivo Alavés

Deportivo Alavés

Rayo Vallecano

10

5

Total shots

Deportivo Alavés

Deportivo Alavés

Rayo Vallecano

19

15