Postmatch editorial
Dender upset the pre-match prices
The final score was Dender 2-1 La Louvière. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
La Louvière struck first through Pape Moussa Fall 31', but Dender recovered and flipped the match.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: La Louvière led Shots on target 2-5, even though the scoreboard went another way. La Louvière also shaded Total shots 7-13.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made La Louvière the favourite at 39.6% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
La Louvière
39.6%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
La LouvièreDender
La Louvière
2
5
Total shots
La LouvièreDender
La Louvière
7
13
Corners
La LouvièreDender
La Louvière
4
5