Postmatch editorial
The scoreboard moved against the market favourite
The final score was Dečić 1-2 Liepāja. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.
Dečić struck first through Davor Kontić 12', but Liepāja recovered and flipped the match.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Dečić led Corners 11-1, even though the scoreboard went another way. Dečić also shaded Possession 59%-41%.
Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Dečić the favourite at 40.0% implied probability. That market lean missed.
Market check
Market result
Dečić
40.0%
Key stats
Match numbers
Corners
DečićDečić
Liepāja
11
1
Possession
DečićDečić
Liepāja
59%
41%