Postmatch editorial

The scoreboard moved against the market favourite

The final score was Dečić 2-1 HJK after extra time. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Alen Masovic scored 90+4' for Dečić.

The numbers leaned the same way as the scoreline: Dečić led Shots on target 7-3. Dečić also shaded Total shots 14-8.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made HJK the favourite at 42.4% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

HJK

42.4%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Shots on target

Dečić

Dečić

HJK

7

3

Total shots

Dečić

Dečić

HJK

14

8

Corners

HJK

Dečić

HJK

6

8