Postmatch editorial

Alashkert flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Debrecen 1-2 Alashkert after extra time. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Vitaly Ustinov put the first mark on the match 18', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Debrecen led Total shots 28-14, even though the scoreboard went another way. Debrecen also shaded Possession 62%-38%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Debrecen the favourite at 62.5% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Debrecen

62.5%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

Debrecen

Debrecen

Alashkert

28

14

Possession

Debrecen

Debrecen

Alashkert

62%

38%

Shots on target

Alashkert

Debrecen

Alashkert

4

5