Czech Republic
Czech Republic won after penalties.
2 - 2
AET
Republic of Ireland
Postmatch editorial
The pre-match tension never quite broke
The final score was Czech Republic 2-2 Republic of Ireland after extra time. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.
The late equaliser came from Ladislav Krejci 86', which kept the game level at the finish.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Czech Republic led Possession 58%-42%, even though the scoreboard went another way. Republic of Ireland also shaded Corners 6-9.
Before kickoff, our model made Czech Republic the likeliest result at 71.8%, while the median bookmaker line priced Czech Republic at 51.2% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (57.3%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Czech Republic
71.8%
Market result
Czech Republic
51.2%
BTTS
No
57.3%
Key stats
Match numbers
Possession
Czech RepublicCzech Republic
Republic of Ireland
58%
42%
Corners
Republic of IrelandCzech Republic
Republic of Ireland
6
9
Total shots
Czech RepublicCzech Republic
Republic of Ireland
12
10
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.