Postmatch editorial
Neither side managed to pull the match clear
The final score was Czech Republic 0-0 Croatia. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.
Neither Czech Republic nor Croatia found a breakthrough, so the game stayed goalless all the way through.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Czech Republic led Shots on target 2-1, even though the scoreboard went another way. Czech Republic also shaded Total shots 10-5.
Before kickoff, our model made Czech Republic the likeliest result at 39.4%, while the median bookmaker line priced Croatia at 45.5% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned Yes (59.4%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Czech Republic
39.4%
Market result
Croatia
45.5%
BTTS
Yes
59.4%
Match numbers
Shots on target
Czech RepublicCzech Republic
Croatia
2
1
Total shots
Czech RepublicCzech Republic
Croatia
10
5
Corners
Czech RepublicCzech Republic
Croatia
5
2
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.