Postmatch editorial

Cultural Leonesa flipped the prices on their head

The final score was Cultural Leonesa 2-1 SD Eibar. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Víctor Moreno put the first mark on the match 59', setting the tone for the rest of the night.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: SD Eibar led Total shots 8-14, even though the scoreboard went another way. Cultural Leonesa also shaded Possession 54%-46%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made SD Eibar the favourite at 44.2% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

SD Eibar

44.2%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Total shots

SD Eibar

Cultural Leonesa

SD Eibar

8

14

Possession

Cultural Leonesa

Cultural Leonesa

SD Eibar

54%

46%

Shots on target

Cultural Leonesa

SD Eibar

3

3