Postmatch editorial

OFI upset the pre-match prices

The final score was CSKA Sofia 0-2 OFI. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

The decisive turn arrived late when Giannis Theodosoulakis scored 78' for OFI.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: CSKA Sofia led Corners 7-5, even though the scoreboard went another way. CSKA Sofia also shaded Possession 56%-44%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made CSKA Sofia the favourite at 61.2% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

CSKA Sofia

61.2%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

CSKA Sofia

CSKA Sofia

OFI

7

5

Possession

CSKA Sofia

CSKA Sofia

OFI

56%

44%

Shots on target

OFI

CSKA Sofia

OFI

6

7