Postmatch editorial

CSKA 1948 Sofia flipped the prices on their head

The final score was CSKA 1948 Sofia 2-1 Pafos FC. It landed away from the bookmaker favourite and counts as a genuine market upset.

Pafos FC struck first through Muamer Tankovic 10', but CSKA 1948 Sofia recovered and flipped the match.

The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Pafos FC led Corners 2-9, even though the scoreboard went another way. Pafos FC also shaded Possession 40%-60%.

Before kickoff, the median bookmaker prices made Pafos FC the favourite at 58.7% implied probability. That market lean missed.

Market check

Market result

Pafos FC

58.7%

Miss
Key stats

Match numbers

Corners

Pafos FC

CSKA 1948 Sofia

Pafos FC

2

9

Possession

Pafos FC

CSKA 1948 Sofia

Pafos FC

40%

60%

Shots on target

CSKA 1948 Sofia

Pafos FC

3

3