Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace won after full-time.
1 - 0
FT
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Postmatch editorial
Crystal Palace turned the pre-match edge into points
The final score was Crystal Palace 1-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers. The strongest pre-match signals were already leaning toward that outcome.
Wolverhampton Wanderers struck first through Tolu Arokodare 43', but Crystal Palace recovered and flipped the match.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Wolverhampton Wanderers led Shots on target 3-7, even though the scoreboard went another way. Crystal Palace also shaded Corners 7-3.
Before kickoff, our model made Crystal Palace the likeliest result at 49.4%, while the median bookmaker line priced Crystal Palace at 55.2% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (54.0%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Crystal Palace
49.4%
Market result
Crystal Palace
55.2%
BTTS
No
54.0%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Wolverhampton WanderersCrystal Palace
Wolverhampton Wanderers
3
7
Corners
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Wolverhampton Wanderers
7
3
Possession
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Wolverhampton Wanderers
61%
39%
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.