Crystal Palace
Game ended in draw.
0 - 0
FT
Leeds United
Postmatch editorial
Draw found the margin in a finely priced match
The final score was Crystal Palace 0-0 Leeds United. The model and the market were not perfectly aligned, but one side of that divide ended up cashing out.
Neither Crystal Palace nor Leeds United found a breakthrough, so the game stayed goalless all the way through.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Leeds United led Shots on target 0-3, even though the scoreboard went another way. Crystal Palace also shaded Possession 67%-33%.
Before kickoff, our model made Crystal Palace the likeliest result at 45.7%, while the median bookmaker line priced Leeds United at 37.7% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (54.8%), and that angle landed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Crystal Palace
45.7%
Market result
Leeds United
37.7%
BTTS
No
54.8%
Key stats
Match numbers
Shots on target
Leeds UnitedCrystal Palace
Leeds United
0
3
Possession
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Leeds United
67%
33%
Corners
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Leeds United
8
3
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.