Crystal Palace
Game ended in draw.
2 - 2
FT
Everton
Postmatch editorial
Neither side managed to pull the match clear
The final score was Crystal Palace 2-2 Everton. The draw was not the loudest pre-match angle, but the game never fully escaped its balance.
The late equaliser came from Jean-Philippe Mateta 77', which kept the game level at the finish.
The raw numbers were a little messier than the result: Crystal Palace led Total shots 21-13, even though the scoreboard went another way. Everton also shaded Corners 5-10.
Before kickoff, our model made Crystal Palace the likeliest result at 46.0%, while the median bookmaker line priced Everton at 39.2% implied. On BTTS, the model leaned No (51.1%), and that angle missed.
Prediction checks
Model result
Crystal Palace
46.0%
Market result
Everton
39.2%
BTTS
No
51.1%
Key stats
Match numbers
Total shots
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Everton
21
13
Corners
EvertonCrystal Palace
Everton
5
10
Shots on target
Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace
Everton
8
6
Value angle
No structured value bet was flagged before kickoff, so this one closed without a dedicated price angle.